Week 4 NFL Predictions
Can you believe we are already
heading to the final game of the first quarter of the season? Boy does time
fly. Also, can you believe that 2 “essentially” rookies (Siemian and Wentz, the
actual rookie of the two) are leading undefeated teams? And it’s not even that
their teams are carrying them; they are both playing well enough to win games
on their own. And I won’t forget about Brisset either although he has only
started one game so I can’t give him as much credit. Well, maybe instead of
talking about rookies all day, we should get to this week’s picks!
Sanders went 6-10 last week and is
now 29-19 on this season’s predictions.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins
Like usual, my game analysis with
the Dolphins is short and sweet. I don’t have anything against the Dolphins but
I am just tired of them being hyped up every year and never giving results. The
Dolphins are a mediocre team who SHOULD be 0-3 if not for a whiffed kick by the
Browns before overtime. Meanwhile, the Bengals had a rough start with the Jets,
Broncos, and Steelers in their first 3 games thus being 1-2 can be forgiven for
now. The Bengals Defense should bounce back and control this game while the
Bengals offense needs to show some signs of life and they have struggled to get
a passing game going outside of AJ Green. As for the Dolphins, if they want to
win the game, they need to have an offense simply show up. Their defense is
enough to win games but their offense just lacks dynamic play.
Key Matchup: Bengals rush attack vs
Dolphins run defense
Bengals 23 Dolphins 14
Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Would you believe that, through 3
weeks of play, both of these teams combine for 1 win? Granted that both teams
have had tough opponents, it’s still no excuse for either club to not be more
productive in the win columns. I only say this because the Jaguars were an
offseason darling while the Colts were seen as a team that could right the ship
with Andrew Luck healthy. While Luck has played phenomenal this season so far,
the rest of his team hasn’t and the Jaguars are failing to produce more points
than their opponent because of a dreadful defense letting splash plays happen.
Because of another great start to the season by Andrew Luck, I will give this
game to the Colts.
Key Matchup: Colts WRs vs Jaguars
Secondary
Colts 27 Jaguars 17
Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons
Is it time for the Panthers to hit
the panic button after starting the season 1-2? No. Not at all. This Panthers
team is a tough football team but it’s kryptonite seems to be defense that can
smother their receivers and contain Newton within the pocket more often than
not. Luckily, for them, the Falcons do not have one of these defense. In fact,
the Falcons have one of the poorest pash rushes in the NFL with Vic Beasley not
living up to the hype and reliable veteran Dwight Freeney being the only
reliable player to go after the quarter back. I said before the season that the
Panthers would still be a great team and win their division 10-6. They can
solidify a statement here by winning a division game on the road against the
2-1 Falcons.
Key Matchup: Panthers O-line vs
Falcons Pass Rush
Panthers 31 Falcons 23
Oakland Raiders vs Baltimore Ravens
This is one of the tougher games to
call. The Raiders have the 2nd best ranked offense through 3 weeks
while the Ravens have the 2nd best defense through 3 weeks. On the
other sides of the ball, the Ravens have the 25th ranked offense
overall and the Raiders have the 32nd ranked defense overall. The stats
say the Ravens should win but it’s not as simple as stats. The Raiders barely
came back against a terrible Saints defense and beat the Titans. Meanwhile, the
Ravens are 3-0 but their opponents were the Bills, Browns, and Jags who all
kept them in tight games and have a combined 1-8 win total. Neither team has
beaten what would be considered “quality opponents” but this week they face quality
opponents in each other. The Raiders need to prove they can keep up with the
Chargers and Broncos in a wild AFC West while the Ravens need to prove to their
doubters that they aren’t pretending to be a good team at 3-0.
Key Matchup: Ravens Pass Rush vs
Raiders O-line
Raiders 20 Ravens 23
Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears
This one can be kept simple. The
Bears aren’t playing well enough to stay in games. In fact, Bears game have
usually been sealed around the 3rd quarter as they seem to play like
they have given up by that time in their games. Also, rumor says Cutler won’t
get his spot back once he is healthy? Thoughts, Chicago fans? Meanwhile, the
Lions have only 1 win but have been a competitive team in the first few weeks.
Taking advantage of a bad Bears team should give them motivation to continue
into the season with some confidence.
Key Matchup: Lions slot receivers
and tight ends vs Bears middle linebackers
Lions 31 Bears 17
Tennesseee Titans vs Houstan Texans
Titians had an awful showing last
week but the Texans looked worse. However, to put those two results in
perspective, the Titans were playing the Raiders and the Texans were playing
the Patriots. If the Texans were that bad, there would be concerns but the
Patriots just came flat out rolling. As for the Titans, they haven’t taken
advantage of the opportunities they have had to win games. That spells dangers
against a Texans defense; even with a Texans defense that no longer has J.J.
Watt for a good chunk of the season. Titans gotta get the run game going if
they want to beat the Texans.
Key Matchup: Titans “exotic
smashmouth” run game vs Texans run defense
Titans 20 Texans 24
Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots
Just like every Rex Ryan team, the
Bills are a team fiery team that is playing for their coach to keep his job. On
the other side of the field, we have the greatest football coach to ever be in
the game; Bill Bellichick. With Brissett, set to start, it’s up to Buffalo
whether they want to punish the rookie QB in his second NFL start ever.
This game looks hard to decide on
at face value, but remember Gronkowski is coming back and that should be a
safety blanked that Brissett utilizes well. I’ll give this game to the better
coach.
Key Matchup: Rex Ryan’s gameplan vs
Bill Bellichick’s gameplan
Bills 21 Patriots 27
UPSET OF THE WEEK!
Seattle Seahawks vs New York Jets
So I did call an upset on Seattle
last week but that didn’t happen. I’m going to do it again except I think I am
right this time. Why? There is no way Fitzpatrick doesn’t comeback to prove
that he can lead his team to the playoffs and Seattle is the perfect team to do
that. Especially because the Wilson is not 100% himself and Seattle has only
had one good offensive game and the Jets D-line should smother Wilson and force
him to make the plays all on his own. Normally that’s fine except that Wilson
isn’t as mobile because of his injuries right now. Seattle’s defense needs to
come up big and spoil Fitzpatrick’s day if Seattle wants to win.
Key Matchup: Hawks O-line vs Jets
D-line
Seahawks 16 Jets 20
Cleveland Browns vs Washington Redskins
The Browns may be 0-3 but they
haven’t rolled over in any of their losses and have been a competitive team.
Meanwhile, the Redskins just got their first win and they have to beat teams
like the Browns if they want to continue to prove they are still a playoff team
and not simply a fluke. At this point, Cleveland is playing to figure out who
they are as a team to build on that next
year while the Redskins are only 4 weeks in but already playing for their
playoff lives. I think the desperate team wins the game.
Key Matchup: Cousins and Co. vs
Redskins secondary
Browns 17 Redskins 20
Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Broncos are on fire and have
continued their defensive domincance this season while improving their
offensive play. Siemian proved he can ball out against a quality defensive
opponent last week and while the Patriots are 3-0, I think Denver either is or
soon will be this year’s Super Bowl favorite in the next coming weeks. The
Buccaneers however, haven’t improved upon last year that much and the defense
is still the problem. Maybe Lovie Smith wasn’t the problem afterall? Hmm.
Things to ponder about.
Key Matchup: Charles Sims vs
Denver’s run defense
Broncos 24 Buccaneers 16
Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals
I’ll be straightforward. Cardinals
need to flat out dominate the Rams if they want to prove they are one of the
best teams in the NFL. They have started 1-2 and have absolutely no excuses.
The Rams on the other hand have surprised people and have gone to a 2-1 start.
While impressive the Rams need to show more before I can start to believe in
them. They can do that by beating the Cardinals.
Key Matchup: Rams front seven vs Cardinals O-line
Rams 16 Cardinals 21
New Orleans Saints vs San Diego Chargers
I did believe in the Saints early
on but it’s hard to believe in team when the defense loses every game. Drew
Brees and Sean Payton’s offenses are doing everything they can to win games but
you can’t expec to score 40 points every game to catch up with your defense. It
is for this reason that the Chargers should win. Like every team before them,
the Chargers need to take advantage of a poor Saints defense.
Key Matchup: Saints pass rush vs
Philip Rivers and his O-line
Saints 24 Chargers 33
Dallas Cowboys vs San Francisco 49ers
This will be short and sweet. Chip
Kelly’s offense can score points. Dallas can’t defend. Dak Prescott is looking
to be the future of Dallas. The 9ers can’t defend either. Look for a shootout between
Dak Prescott and Blaine Gabbert. Considering how Prescott has shown that he can
stay away from making gamebreaking mistakes, I give this game to the Cowboys.
Key Matchup: Dak Prescott vs Blaine
Gabbert
Cowboys 26 49ers 17
Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers
The Chiefs might have two wins
under their belts but both wins are sketchy. They beat an injured Chargers team
and then only scored 24 points off of EIGHT TURNOVERS. That’s 3 points per turn
over if you know how to do elementary math. That’s terrible. The Chiefs are a
concern for me and while the Steelers just got beat up 34-3 by the Eagles,
don’t let that one game fool you. The Steelers are a team to be reckoned with
especially with RB Bell back in the starting lineup.
Key Matchup: Marcus Peters vs
Antonio Brown
Chiefs 16 Steelers 31
New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings
So I picked against the Vikings for
the last two weeks. Not making that mistake this week. However, I do believe
this will be the Vikings toughest outing yet. Yes, the Packers were a tough
game however, the Giants just have a truck full of weapons to unleash against
defenses. The Vikings will need to be smart and play a ball-control offensive
game to beat the Giants. If not, giving Manning, Cruz, Beckham, and Shephard
shots to go downfield and take over the game will not end well for this Vikings
team.
Key Matchup: Eli Manning and Co. vs
Vikings Defense
Giants 17 Vikings 20