By Jacob Sanders

After this week, we will be 25% of our way through the season. And outside of the Patriots making the playoffs, you can’t really tell me that you know a ton of what’s going on. The first quarter of a season is crucial in the sense that early wins help out later on if team’s have a mid-season slump. It’s also crucial in such a way that if you start out slow, then this week is relatively close to a must-win game for you if you wanna keep some sort of pace with the rest of the League. Keep in mind though, we’ve seen teams get off to horrible starts (last year’s Colts started 1-5) and still end the year white hot and storming into the post-season. As for now though, that time is a little bit away, so let’s get to the picks for this week!
Sanders went 12-4 last week putting him to 33-15-1 on the season so far. He also picked the Packers to win 31-24 on Thursday but the Eagles won 34-27. 0-1 on Week 4 so far.
TEN Titans vs ATL Falcons
Some of you may be wondering how misplaced my faith in the Falcons has been. To be honest, it’s ever so slightly misplaced as they seem troubled in their ability to finish off games. However, I don’t think that will be a problem here. The Titans can’t move the ball offensively unless Derrick Henry is having himself a day. Mariota isn’t getting it done and the Titans know this as well. It would be just like Mariota to have a big day here because he seems to have those types of games occasionally, but I just don’t see it here. I see Matt Ryan and Co. taking this game over and never looking back.
Titans 10 Falcons 24
CLE Browns vs BAL Ravens
This space here will be longer than normal because I would like to talk about the Browns for a second here. There isn’t a better time than now for the Browns to get things on track. The odd thing though, I’m not quite sure the Browns do get things back on track. I’ve been termed a “hater” of the Browns going into the season but really I was just being realistic. The talent on this roster is unbelievable. But combine that with the fact you have four hot-heads and a rookie head coach directing the team, it’s not like the Browns were going to explode like many thought. I had them going 8-8 this season and starting 1-3. So, I do feel like they recover down the stretch. But by then, it’s too little to late for the season. What I didn’t expect was the Baltimore offense to look as good as it does. I think even the biggest of Ravens fans are in awe of Jackson’s progress and the offense they have featured so far. To me, the Ravens improvement only further cements my opinion the Browns start 1-3. This Browns offense, which can not protect Baker Mayfield so far this season, won’t be able to keep pace with the Ravens offense. Browns come out feeling miserable with a 1-3 reality check that both Baker Mayfield and Freddie Kitchens have a long way to go.
Browns 17 Ravens 27
NE Patriots vs BUF Bills
The Bills are legit. I’m gonna say it. I had the Bills making the playoffs as the No. 6 seed at 9-7. However, they’re already 3-0 and surpassing what I expected from them. Have their opponents been all that great? Well, no. But come on, you beat who’s in front of you and the Bills have done so in gritty, fun ways. This week, they will be tested by the Patriots which brings me some excitement. I expect this game to be relatively close. The Bills coaching staff is smart and they put this Buffalo team in situations set up for success and all they ever have to do is execute and make the play. However, as hyped as I am about the Bills, it’s just too foolish to not pick the Patriots here. The upset chances here are real and I would get really excited if it did happen. However, the Patriots defense is a near immovable object. The Bills offense isn’t necessarily an unstoppable force.
Patriots 24 Bills 17
KC Chiefs vs DET Lions
It’s really weird that for about a 3 WHOLE seconds I actually considered the Lions chances of winning this game. That has nothing to do with the Chiefs and moreso to the fact that the Lions have genuinely surprised me. They tied the Cardinals, beat the Chargers and beat the Eagles. WHOA. Those are some quality teams to face in your first three games. I’ve gotten my own reality check in that the Lions aren’t dropping dead to 4-12 this season like I once thought. They’ve been tough and competitive. In the case of this game though, you have to ask yourself if Matt Stafford can keep pace with Patrick Mahomes. It’s quite possible he can. Will he though? Probably not. Chiefs win the game, but it’s probably way closer than anybody is expecting.
Chiefs 31 Lions 26
CAR Panthers vs HOU Texans
Am I on the hype train for Kyle Allen? Not at all. Many were impressed with his comfort and poise last week. While that was impressive for one’s first start, it was also against a punchless secondary in the Cardinals. So hit the breaks and think about the matchup for this week. They’re going to Houston. It’s the 2nd game in a row that’s an away game. It’s against a team quarterbacked by Deshaun Watson. Also, J.J. Watt will be in Allen’s face most of the day. I anticipate many rookie mistakes to be made during this game. Many more than last week.
Panthers 19 Texans 24
OAK Raiders vs IND Colts
Now THAT was the Raiders I expected. They got pummeled by the Vikings last week and also put Jon Gruden’s record on the road to 1-9 since he came back. At this point, you have to ask yourself if the Raiders can win on the road at all. The answer is probably not. There’s a lot to like about this Raiders team, but they are just so different when they aren’t at home. As for the Colts, they are pulling out some too close for comfort games all the time. This has made me consider the possibility that the Raiders actually make this game close here. Instead though, I’m going the opposite direction, and saying the Colts stomp the Raiders in front of the home crowd. Brissett has a career day here and puts the entire NFL on notice that this Colts team is still hungry and ready to win against anybody.
Raiders 14 Colts 28
LA Chargers vs MIA Dolphins
Here’s my quality, professional analysis. Dolphins are going 0-16. I will write this for every matchup until the Dolphins win a game. Hint: they won’t. Free win for the Chargers.
Chargers 27 Dolphins 9
WAS Redskins vs NY Giants
It’s actually incredible to me just how bad this Redskins team is this year. They looked competitive last year even when losing. But this year, they just look awful. Keenum clearly isn’t any sort of answer and the defense most certainly misses Preston Smith. At this point, it’s fair to wonder if Gruden is on the hot seat this year, even if it’s not fair to him that the front office hasn’t handled the roster well during his tenure in Washington. He’s probably gone before the season ends if you ask me. Meanwhile, the Giants on the other hand are busy looking smart. After much ridicule about drafting Daniel Jones, the Giants suddenly look like a team with life. Will this make them world-beaters? Not at all, especially since Saquon will be gone for several weeks now. However, Jones being under center makes the Giants watchable again and frankly, viable again. They take the W here against an awful Redskins team.
Redskins 17 Giants 26
SEA Seahawks vs ARI Cardinals
A lot will be made about the Wilson-Murray matchup here. But really, what should be talked about is how much the Cardinals defense misses Patrick Peterson. A rookie QB last week decimated them at home. Now, I’m being asked about them facing Russel Wilson? That’s laughable. The choice is obviously Russel Wilson and Co. The question here is if the Cardinals can keep pace with the Seahawks. Here? Probably not. Kingsbury and Murray get their first taste of the “No. 12 fanbase” and it won’t be pretty.
Seahawks 30 Cardinals 20
TB Buccaneers vs LA Rams
Well. The Bucs are just as bad as we all thought. And while the Rams have certainly look like they have regressed from last year, they are still 3-0. Sure, Todd Gurley isn’t as explosive as last year. And Goff is having some early in-game struggles. But this team is persistent and still winning. The same can’t be said about the Bucs who look punchless with Winston under center.
Bucs 13 Rams 31
MIN Vikings vs CHI Bears
This will be my first reckless pick of the year. The Vikings here are going to go into Chicago, and ruin Matt Nagy’s offense. The Vikings here are going to show the Bears true colors here. If they can’t stop the opposing offense, they won’t win games. Dalvin Cook is a brilliant talent. Kirk Cousins to Adam Thielen is still a dynamite connection. What I’m getting at here, is the Vikings have enough offensive firepower to beat the NFL’s best defense. And that’s going to be the Bears problem all year as long as Trubisky looks as mediocre as he does. If the Bears defense can’t stop the opposing offense, can the Bears offense still win games? My answer is a hard no, as of right now.
Vikings 20 Bears 13
JAX Jaguars vs DEN Broncos
I’m actually insane. Why? I’m picking the Broncos here, yet again. What’s ironic about the Broncos, is that, offensively, they haven’t been as bad as the scoreboard shows. They are actually ranking in the top half of the league for driving the ball down the field. Their problem is once they reach the redzone, they can’t score touchdowns. Hell, this Denver offense drove the ball down the field in the last minute of the game against the Chicago defense. That’s impressive. Their opponents though are nothing to laugh at. Coming off a 9-sack effort, the Jags are hungry to continue their defensive dominance against a static Joe Flacco. Does it happen here? I’m gonna say no and give the Broncos their first win...hopefully.
Jaguars 14 Broncos 17
DAL Cowboys vs NO Saints
Man, this is a great Sunday Night game even if it’s without Drew Brees. Teddy Bridgewater went into enemy territory and straight up dissected the Seattle defense completing 70% of his passes for 177 yards and 2 TDs. He’ll be tested again against a defense that I feel is criminally not being talked about in the Dallas Cowboys. All eyes are on the Dallas Cowboys offense and for good reason. Their offense is firing on all cylinders and Prescott looks more polished than ever. I get it. But that shouldn’t take away from the core strength of this roster which lies in the Cowboys defense. Quite honestly, I think the Saints have a real shot of winning this game without Drew Brees. However, I’m taking the Cowboys here. This game is also where the Cowboys put the NFL on notice with a 4-0 start, and an aim for a top seed in the NFC. It’s happening people. I’ve been on this hype train since March. It ain’t stoppin now. I may not like the Cowboys as a football fan, but damn do I love them as an analyst.
Cowboys 28 Saints 24
Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Outside of the Miami Dolphins, it’s quite possible that these two teams are competing for worst team in the AFC on Monday night. Both teams are a mess with no glimpse of hope to be seen for either. Frankly, the season is over in Pittsburgh. With Roethlisberger out, and neither Juju-Smith or James Conner picking up any slack, it’s hard to argue for the Steelers making a comeback. Also, the Bengals defense is leakier than the oil cartridge in my 4-wheeler. Trying to pick this game is like trying to pick between having a broken arm or a broken leg. You don’t want to pick either. So, I’ll just go with the home team. Pittsburgh. Ugh.
Bengals 16 Steelers 17
