Saturday, January 4, 2020

WildCard Playoff Predix


By Jacob Sanders

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We are here. One of the most exciting times of the year. The NFL playoffs have started and unlike some Wildcard Weekends we have seen in the past, we have some great matchups to go over. We even have some all-time QBs playing today in Tom Brady and Drew Brees. Just that is enough to tune in to what should be a wild weekend. So, let’s get right to it.

Sanders went 11-5 last week putting him to a grand total of 163-95-1 on the regular season. Playoffs start this weekend and everyone starts 0-0. Here we go!

BUF  Bills vs HOU Texans
A case for the Bills:
The Bills are arguably the toughest team in the AFC to play. Yes, the better teams like the Ravens and Chiefs play in the AFC as well, but no other team wants to punch you in the mouth like the Bills do. Their rough-and-tough style of play wears opponents down and let’s the Bills defense close out the game nice and well. Their task this week, however, is to stop Will Fuller. The Texans becomes one-dimensional when Will Fuller is either out injured or not having a good performance. If you stop Deshaun Watson, and his two best receivers, Hopkins and Fuller, then you shut down this entire Texans team. One other thing the Bills need to do that they have going for them: Utilizing Josh Allen’s big arm. It’s not like the Texans secondary is very strong. If you can get John Brown to take the top off and Cole Beasley to work the middle, the Bills have a recipe for winning.

However…

A case for the Texans:
J.J. Watt is returning to the defensive lineup which gives the Texans all sorts of hope that they can hit Josh Allen and throw him off his game. Josh Allen has played his worst this season when the pass rush is breathing down his neck. Josh Allen will get better at this over time, but with him only being a 2nd year player, it can be easy for the Texans to ruin his day. In addition to this, we all know the Texans have a great WR core in Hopkins, Fuller, and Stills. Can the running game get going? Can Carlos Hyde get this engine rolling? We don’t know for sure but the Bills have a strong run defense. Take care of that and you open up the passing game for one of the most elite WR duos in football when healthy.

Final Prediction:
Man, the Bills are tough. As a Ravens fan, I don’t want to play them again. I don’t think anybody wants the Bills coming to town. The Bills have a great defense and a phenomenal head coach who knows how to put his team into positions to win. However, both Josh Allen and Sean McDermott are entering their playoff debut as a HC-QB combo. Bill O’Brien and Deshaun Watson have been here before. No, they didn’t win in their first playoff appearance, but experience matters here. When two teams are good and they both seem even talent-wise, you gotta go with the coach and quarterback who have more experience and know what they have to do in a playoff atmosphere. Texans grab a tough win at home.

Bills 20 Texans 27


TEN Titans vs NE Patriots

A case for the Titans:
The Titans have become a high flying offense with the rise of Ryan Tannehill and the continuous pounding of Derrick Henry. Other players like A.J. Brown and Delanie Walker all contribute as well to the points the Titans have been putting up. The best part is, the Titans haven’t had a dud performance offensively either. They are consistently scoring points which is key when facing a top-flight defense that the NE Patriots have. What the Titans need for them to happen though, is they need the defense that can hold off Patrick Mahomes and Drew Brees (for the first half) to show up. If the defense that caved into Houston in their first matchup, or gave up a 14-0 lead to the Saints in the second half of the game, then the Titans are in trouble. I recognize they aren’t facing a top-flight 
defense, but do you really want to take any gambles against Tom Brady?

Speaking of Tom Brady…

A case for the Patriots:
Does anyone reading this realize this will be Tom Brady’s 41st playoff start? Crazy. Insanity. Wild. Unheard of. I could go on with adjectives to describe just how impossible 41 playoff starts is. We’ll never see that again and people won’t appreciate it till long after he has retired and his bust has been enshrined in the Hall of Fame. I am getting ahead of myself though, let’s get back to this game. The Patriots have a lock-down defense that can certainly score points for the team when the offense can’t. They are one of the best in takeaways and constantly give Brady and Co. great positioning to score. Despite the great field position the defense gives, the Patriots offense is just not working. It’s beyond flawed, and if Tom Brady weren’t the engineer behind this offense, I don’t think this team even achieves 11 wins. The Patriots need their rookie WR to step up. James White needs to be an asset in the passing game. Sony Michel and Julian Edelman must continue what they’ve done to help Brady, if they hope to keep up with the Titans offense. If not, the Patriots could soon find themselves in a hole they can’t recover from.

Final Prediction:
I am not a prisoner of the moment in believing the Titans are peaking and because of that, they will win. I am also not a prisoner of the Brady-Bellichick aura. Yes, the Titans are peaking and yes Brady-Bellichick always figure it out when things are going wrong. That being said, neither of these things should be considered when you pick this game. Instead, think about the fact this game is being played in the cold, at night, in one of the hardest stadiums to win in for opposing teams. Think about the fact that Brady has more playoff experience than any other player (and even Titans coaches) on the field. Game conditions matter. Playoff experience matters. Mike Vrabel, as a coach, and Ryan Tannehill as the quarterback all lack experience in the playoffs. Everything I mentioned above favors New England. Yes, I think the hotter team is the Titans. But the better coached and better overall team, is still New England. And the better defense lies with the home team in cold conditions. It’s an upset if the Titans win. And what a fantastic upset it would be.
Titans 14 Patriots 17


MIN Vikings vs NO Saints

A case for the Vikings:
Dalvin Cook’s return is massive. The Vikings offense is just better and far more functional when Cook is the game. This is no disrespect to Cousins, Diggs, or Thielen who are fantastic playmakers in their own right as well. But given the state of the Vikings offense, Cook’s return is just that important. That being said, his return isn’t the most important thing that needs to happen for the Vikings to win. The Vikings defense NEEDS a vintage 2017-2018 performance. Matter of the fact is, you aren’t going to stop the Saints offense. It just doesn’t happen. But you CAN slow them down enough to score more points than them and beat them. This is a must. Mike Zimmer is a fantastic head coach (despite what some others say) and can create a gameplan that allows this Vikings defense to take 
over the game.

But when it comes to creating gameplans…

A case for the Saints:
No one does it better offensively than Sean Payton. The man is a mastermind who can gameplan for anything that comes his way and can adapt his offense mid-game like no other. His work with Teddy B this last season was incredible and his ability to get Drew Brees back without missing a beat is exactly the type of coaching that can lead your team to a Super Bowl. But Sean Payton isn’t the only person that needs to make a difference. To me, if the Saints want to frustrate the Vikings, it won’t be through the offense but through the play of Marshon Lattimore. To me, it doesn’t matter if he covers Diggs or Thielen. Either way, you must shut that receiver down. If Lattimore does his job, the Vikings offense will be handicapped. From there, you let Drew Brees and Co. do their thing.

Final Prediction:
It’s very rare that I ever confidently pick a Vikings game. History says I’m wrong everytime I pick a tough Vikings game. Luckily for me, I don’t think this game is all that tough to pick. The first thing I look at when picking a team is the overall roster and performance of the team. While the Vikings have a great roster, they have not performed to their ceiling and the Saints have this year thus the disparity in seeding and record. The Saints, I’ll say it, also have the better head coach. The Saints, as a team, are willing to pull out all the stops and open the entire playbook to win the game if they have to. We just haven’t seen this type of effort from the Vikings this season. And at some point, you gotta accept a team for what they are. The Vikings are a 10-6 team who simply haven’t reached their ceiling this year, and it doesn’t look like they ever will this year.

Vikings 23 Saints 31


SEA Seahawks vs PHI Eagles

A case for the Seahawks:
I’m keeping this one simple because the way the Seahawks win is relatively simple. Wilson and Pete Carrol have been here done that. Enough said on that. What needs to happen though, is everything else. This team is somehow 11-5 with a bottom 10 defense and relatively little to work with on offense. This just speaks to how good Carrol’s coaching is and Wilson’s MVP campaign. However, as of late, the Seahawks haven’t looked like a team ready to win in playoff conditions with losses to both AZ and SF in the last two weeks. The Seahawks NEED a Russel Wilson MVP performance and they need either the defense to final figure it out or Marshawn Lynch to have a throwback performance. If neither of these things happen, the Seahawks may be too hurt to rely on a regular performance to win.

On the note of injuries…

A case for the Eagles:
The Eagles are, quite literally, rolling out wide receivers from the streets. Props to Carson Wentz for carrying this team to 3-0 the last three weeks to pull of the NFC East title. It earned them a home playoff game which is massive. What’s even bigger, is that the Eagles are NOT favored in this game. This lets the crowd throw it back to the “underdog” mentality they had in the Super Bowl. Once again, the Eagles are set to play with everything against them. Doug Pederson has been here done that. This is Wentz’s first rodeo. With the Eagles getting healthy on defense, it’s go time for the Eagles and they gotta get it together to beat an MVP candidate in Wilson.

Final Prediction:
Give me the underdogs in this game. The Eagles are the inferior team and the Seahawks are the better team. However, in this case, I am taking the hotter team. The Eagles are surging into the playoffs with a home crowd ready to support their franchise QB in his first playoff start. The Seahawks, on the other hand, both metaphorically and physically are limping into the playoffs. Factor in the fact this crowd isn’t going to be nice to them at all, and I just don’t see them pulling it off. It’s hard to doubt a Pete Carrol led team, yet here I am.

Seahawks 17 Eagles 27

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